Agenda radar
What is likely to reach the agenda of congresses, governments and agencies in the coming weeks, with alerts on what affects you.
Public affairs · Latin America
Where decisions intersect.
We show who decides, how they are likely to decide and why. In Congress, in government and in regulatory agencies, with an open method and forecasts that can be checked afterwards.
Bill 1234/2026 · floor votefictitious example
62%
chance of approval. Range: 54% to 70%.
lean Yes · 268undecided · 41lean No · 204
Who really decides?
Legislators, rapporteurs, ministers and regulators, with each one's record, positions and constituency.
What are the odds?
A probability with an uncertainty range, calculated for each government scenario.
How to engage?
Whom to talk to first and with which legitimate argument: merit, constituency and each person's consistency.
What we deliver
Analysis, forecasting and strategy for public decisions.
Services can be hired together or separately, depending on the issue.
Decision forecasting
The chance that a bill or a rule is approved, with an uncertainty range and the scenario it was calculated for.
Stakeholder mapping
A profile of each decision-maker: votes, departures from the party line, issues, committees, constituency and public positions.
Engagement strategy
Where to start, whom to talk to and with which argument, with an owner and a next step for each name.
Territorial intelligence
Official indicators for each official's territory, to show how the issue helps their constituency.
Analysis and scenarios
How the map changes if the government changes, if a party switches sides or if the rapporteur is someone else.
Chance on the floor
62%
range 54% to 70% · current scenario
Most influential undecided
Representative A (Party A)51%
Representative B (Party B)48%
Representative C (Party C)47%
Representative D (Party D)45%
Next steps
Technical meeting with the rapporteur's officeweek 44
Brief with data on Representative A's municipalityweek 44
Platform
An analysis team with its own platform.
Our team works on a platform we built ourselves. You receive the analysis and also see the numbers behind it.
- Dashboard per issue, updated with official data
- Government scenarios side by side
- Engagement plan with owners
- Public forecast ledger
Method
Forecasts recorded before, checked after.
Every forecast is recorded before the decision and compared with the outcome, including when we are wrong. Our first tests used roll-call votes from Brazil's Chamber of Deputies.
372
roll-call votes in the Chamber re-run using only what was known the day before each one (2023 to 2026).
0.123
probability error (Brier score) after the fix this test revealed in the model; it was 0.149 before. Lower is better.
89%
accuracy when classifying a bill's official topic from its summary alone, for bills from 2023 onwards.
Figures from our internal test with open data from Brazil's Chamber of Deputies, October 2026.
Sectors
Sectors we work in.
Health and life sciences
Coverage, pricing, health regulation
Energy and mining
Transition, tariffs, permitting
Technology
Data, artificial intelligence, platforms
Infrastructure and sanitation
Concessions, legal frameworks, investment
Agribusiness and environment
Climate, land use, trade
Labor and industry
Working hours, taxes, industrial policy
Contact
Talk to our team.
Tell us which issue you follow. In our first conversation, we show you what we have already gathered on it.
WhatsApp+55 11 99962-9603